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Our research is regularly published in top-ranked scientific journals. Search for specific publications below
Journal / article | 2017
Österblom, H. 2017. Reimagining ocean governance using the keystone species concept. Nature Ecology & Evolution 1(5): 0133.
Maury, O., L. Campling, H. Arrizabalaga, O. Aumont, L. Bopp, G. Merino, D. Squires, W. Cheung, M. Goujon, C. Guivarch, S. Lefort, F. Marsac, P. Monteagudo, R. Murtugudde, H. Österblom, J.F. Pulvenis, Y. Ye, B.J. van Ruijven. 2017. From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries. Global Environmental Change 45: 203-216
There is an urgent need for developing policy-relevant future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services. This paper is a milestone toward this aim focusing on open ocean fisheries. We develop five contrasting Oceanic System Pathways (OSPs), based on the existing five archetypal worlds of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed for climate change research (e.g., Nakicenovic et al., 2014 and Riahi et al., 2016). Fi...
Merrie, A., Keys,. P., M. Metian, Österblom, H. 2017. Radical ocean futures-scenario development using science fiction prototyping. Futures, available online 7 October 2017. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2017.09.005
Scenarios can help individuals, communities, corporations and nations to develop a capacity for dealing with the unknown and unpredictable, or the unlikely but possible. A range of scientific methods for developing scenarios is available, but we argue that they have limited capacity to investigate complex social-ecological futures because: 1) non-linear change is rarely incorporated and: 2) they rarely involve co-evolutionar...
Orach, K., Schlüter, M., Österblom, H. 2017. Tracing a pathway to success: How competing interest groups influenced the 2013 EU Common Fisheries Policy reform. Environmental Science & Policy Volume 76, October 2017, Pages 90-102
Adaptation of environmental policies to often unexpected crises is an important function of sustainable governance arrangements. However the relationship between environmental change and policy is complicated. Much research has focused on understanding institutional dynamics or the role of specific participants in the policy process. This paper draws attention to interest groups and the mechanism through which they influence p...
Österblom, H., Jouffray, J.-B., Folke, C., Rockström, J. 2017. Emergence of a global science-business initiative for ocean stewardship. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, USA.
The ocean is under considerable pressure originating from diverse human activities on land and in the water. While substantial literature has focused on how science interacts with policy, relatively little is known about interactions between science and business. Here, we describe: ( i ) the process of identifying “keystone actors” in marine ecosystems, namely globally operating corporations engaged in fisheries and aquacultu...
Österblom, H., B.I. Crona, C. Folke, M. Nyström, M. Troell. 2017. Marine ecosystem science on an intertwined planet. Ecosystems doi:10.1007/s10021-016-9998-6.
Marine ecosystem science has developed since the 1940s, when humans obtained the ability to spend substantial time underneath the surface of the ocean. Since then, and drawing on several decades of scientific advances, a number of exciting research frontiers have emerged. We find: Understanding interacting drivers of change, Identifying thresholds in ecosystems, and Investigating social-ecological dynamics to represent particu...
Blasiak R, Spijkers J, Tokunaga K, Pittman J, Yagi N, Österblom H. 2017. Climate change and marine fisheries: Least developed countries top global index of vulnerability. PLoS ONE 12(6): e0179632. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0179632
Future impacts of climate change on marine fisheries have the potential to negatively influence a wide range of socio-economic factors, including food security, livelihoods and public health, and even to reshape development trajectories and spark transboundary conflict. Yet there is considerable variability in the vulnerability of countries around the world to these effects. We calculate a vulnerability index of 147 countries...
Österblom, H., Hentati-Sundberg,J., Nevonen, N., Veem, K. 2017. Tinkering with a tanker—slow evolution of a Swedish ecosystem approach. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 74(1), 443–452. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsw232
The ecosystem approach is a salient policy paradigm originating from a scientific understanding of the reality of complex ecosystem dynamics. In this article, we investigate how Swedish national marine policies and practice between 2002 and 2015 have changed towards an ecosystem approach. Government documents, the scientific literature, institutional changes, changes in legislation, pilot projects, and changes in science and p...
Book chapter | 2017
Österblom H., Olsson O. 20017. CCAMLR: An ecosystem approach to the Southern Ocean in the Anthropocene. In: Dodds K., Hemmings A. D., Roberts P., editors. Handbook on the Politics on the Antarctic; p. 408-421.
A newly published book, Handbook on the Politics of Antarctica , focuses on a wide range of topics on the governance, geopolitics, international law, cultural studies, and history of Antarctica. It includes chapters from experts from all over the globe, and converges top social sciences and humanities research on the Antarctic and Southern Ocean. Centre researchers Henrik Österblom and Olof Olsson, also the centre’s deputy ...
Journal / article | 2016
Österblom, H., Jouffray, J-B., Spijkers, J. 2016. Where and how to prioritize fishery reform? PNAS 2016 : 1605723113v1-201605723
Fishery reform in North America and Europe has substantially improved the prospects for recovery of ecosystems affected by overfishing. Costello et al. (1) draw from lessons learnt and suggest, in their view, commonsense approaches for improved resource management, including fishing to maximize long-term catch and rights-based fishery management approaches that optimize economic values. They identify global prospects by 2050 a...
Stockholm Resilience Centre is a collaboration between Stockholm University and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
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